Lincoln County, Arkansas: commercial real estate data.
Lincoln County, Arkansas had an estimated 12,868 residents on July 1, 2024, down 0.5 percent since the 2020 census base of 12,937, across 562 square miles. County output reached $380.0 m in 2024, 156 establishments operate here, and the SBA record carries 10 7(a) approvals worth $8.7 m since FY2020.
Underlined figures are computed by MMCG Analytics, not published by the agency.
Lincoln County
How many people live in Lincoln County
- Population, American Community Survey 2020-202412,950
- Households3,592
- Average household size3.61
- Median household income$51,778
- Median age40.3
- Median gross rent$744 per month
- Median owner-occupied home value$108,000
- Home value to household income2.1 times
- Annual rent as a share of median income17.2 percent
- Adults 25 and over with a bachelor degree or higher12.0 percent
- Adults 25 and over with a graduate degree4.1 percent
- Adults 25 and over9,818
- Population under 182,038
- Share under 1815.7 percent
- Population 65 and over1,914
- Share 65 and over14.8 percent
- Working age population, 18 to 648,998
- Civilian labor force4,051
- Unemployment rate2.7 percent
- Labor force participation, adults 18 and over37.1 percent
- Rank by population among Arkansas counties53rd of 75
- Rank by population among US county-equivalents, Puerto Rico included2286th of 3,222
Lincoln County is the 53rd largest of 75 Arkansas counties by population. A median home costs 2.1 times median household income, which is affordable by national standards. Residents under 18 outnumber those 65 and over, at 15.7 percent against 14.8 percent, a household formation profile rather than a retirement one.
US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.
Lincoln County
Is Lincoln County's population growing?
- Population, July 1, 202412,868
- Census 2020 base population12,937
- Population change since the 2020 census base-0.53 percent
- Population change, 2023 to 2024-32
- Births, 202491
- Deaths, 2024155
- Natural change, 2024-64
- Net domestic migration, 202433
- Net international migration, 2024-2
- Total net migration, 202431
- Cumulative net domestic migration, 2021 to 2024266
- Rank by growth among US county-equivalents2028th of 3,144
The county has lost 0.53 percent of its population since the 2020 census base. Deaths exceeded births in 2024 by more than net migration added, so the population fell even though more people moved in than left.
US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024, Vintage 2024, estimates 2020 to 2024.
Lincoln County
Where are people moving to Lincoln County from?
- Tax returns filed by households arriving208
- People arriving, from those returns375
- Tax returns filed by households leaving312
- Net household movement-104
- Adjusted gross income arriving$6.7 m
- Net adjusted gross income movement$-4.9 m
- Average income of an arriving household$32,058
- Average income of a leaving household$37,080
- Largest single originJefferson County (40 households)
- Largest single destinationJefferson County (63 households)
| Origin | Households | People | Adjusted gross income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson County | 40 | 75 | $1.2 m |
| Pulaski County | 21 | 34 | $437,000 |
Households arriving report $5,022 less average income than households leaving, which drains spending power even where headcount holds up. The largest single source of arrivals is Jefferson County, which is the catchment a retail or multifamily study should look at first.
US Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income county migration flows, 2021 to 2022 filing years.
Lincoln County
What is the Lincoln County economy?
- County GDP, 2024$380.0 m
- County GDP, 2023$332.5 m
- GDP change, 2023 to 202414.3 percent
- GDP change over five years57.0 percent
- Rank by GDP among the Arkansas areas BEA publishes60th of 75
- Rank by GDP among the US county areas BEA publishes2578th of 3,127
- GDP per resident$29,343
Output grew 14.3 percent in the latest year and 57.0 percent over five, which is the trend line a lender will read behind any single year figure.
US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional, table CAGDP2, CAGDP2, through 2024.
Lincoln County
Employment by industry in Lincoln County
- Covered employment, annual average2,666
- Establishments reporting233
- Average annual pay$46,882
- Average weekly wage$902
- Manufacturing, employment319
- Manufacturing, average annual pay$42,991
- Health care and social assistance, employment310
- Health care and social assistance, average annual pay$48,979
- Retail trade, employment132
- Retail trade, average annual pay$26,821
- Accommodation and food services, employment129
- Accommodation and food services, average annual pay$13,861
- Construction, employment127
- Utilities, employment113
| Sector | Employment | Establishments | Average annual pay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing | 319 | 10 | $42,991 |
| Health care and social assistance | 310 | 45 | $48,979 |
| Retail trade | 132 | 20 | $26,821 |
| Accommodation and food services | 129 | 15 | $13,861 |
| Construction | 127 | 16 | $55,842 |
| Utilities | 113 | 4 | $79,021 |
| Other services, except public administration | 73 | 17 | $58,045 |
| Wholesale trade | 71 | 8 | $58,817 |
Manufacturing is the largest private sector at 319 jobs, 12.0 percent of covered employment.
US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2024 annual averages.
Lincoln County
How many businesses are in Lincoln County?
- Establishments, all industries156
- Employment at those establishments1,463
- Annual payroll$64.6 m
- Establishments per 1,000 residents12.0
These are counts of establishments physically operating in the county, not listings, so they are the supply side a feasibility study measures demand against. County Business Patterns counts private establishments with paid employees in March 2023, while the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages above counts every unemployment-insured employer, public ones included, as a 2024 annual average, so the two establishment and employment counts differ.
US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.
Lincoln County
Building permits in Lincoln County
- Housing units authorized by permit, 20244
- Declared construction value permitted$1.1 m
- Single family units authorized4
- Multifamily units authorized0
- Multifamily share of units0.0 percent
- Average declared value per unit$272,187
- Units authorized per 1,000 households1.1
Single-family homes are 100.0 percent of units authorized, so the pipeline is predominantly single-family.
US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2024 annual.
Lincoln County
SBA loans in Lincoln County (7(a) and 504)
- 7(a) approvals recorded10
- 7(a) gross approval dollars$8.7 m
- Average 7(a) approval$870,910
- Median 7(a) approval$532,250
- Largest single approval$3,294,500
- Jobs reported supported, 7(a)51
- Jobs per approval5.1
- Distinct 7(a) lenders active4
- Distinct industries receiving approvals5
- Median 7(a) term168 months
- Share of loans on real estate terms, 240 months or longer30.0 percent
- Loans on real estate terms3
- Loans on working capital terms, 120 months or shorter4
- Franchise loans0
- Franchise share of approvals0.0 percent
- Leading industry by approval countBroilers and Other Meat Type Chicken Production (5)
- Most active lenderFirst Financial Bank (5)
US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.
Lincoln County
SBA loan default and charge-off rates in Lincoln County
Do SBA loans in Lincoln County get paid back?
- Loans with a final outcome recorded1
- Paid in full1
- Charged off0
- Status: Paid in full1
- Status: Exempt from disclosure5
- Status: Committed, not yet disbursed4
Only 1 loan has reached a final outcome, fewer than the 30 a charge-off rate needs, so no rate is published.
Compare against the national and state SBA charge-off rates, computed the same way over resolved loans only.
US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.
Lincoln County
SBA lending by place in Lincoln County
- Borrower cities with recorded lending3
- Star City, approvals7
- Dumas, approvals2
- Gould, approvals1
| Borrower city | Approvals | Gross approval dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Star City | 7 | $5,963,600 |
| Dumas | 2 | $2,645,500 |
| Gould | 1 | $100,000 |
US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.
Lincoln County
How large is Lincoln County?
- Land area562 sq mi
- Rank by land area among Arkansas counties68th of 75
- Width, east to west31.8 mi
- Height, north to south27 mi
- Geographies sharing a boundary5
- Residents per square mile of land23
- Establishments per square mile0.28
US Census Bureau county boundary geometry, TIGER, adjacency computed from shared boundary vertices, TIGER county boundaries. US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year. US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.
Lincoln County
Flood risk in Lincoln County
- Participation of the county's own NFIP community Lincoln County, unincorporated areasParticipating, community 050445
- Communities in the county in the NFIP Community Status Book4
- Of those, participating in the NFIP4
- NFIP participation rate100.0 percent
- Communities carrying a CRS class0
- Radon levels in Lincoln County, EPA zone predicted average indoor radon screening level less than 2 pCi/LZone 3
The county's own community in the status book, unincorporated Lincoln County (community 050445), participates in the National Flood Insurance Program and carries no Community Rating System class, so no CRS premium discount applies there. The EPA places Lincoln County in radon zone 3, a predicted average indoor radon screening level less than 2 pCi/L. The zone is a screening prediction for the county and does not substitute for a test at an address. 100.0 percent of the county's listed communities participate in the National Flood Insurance Program, per Federal Emergency Management Agency, NFIP Community Status Book (OpenFEMA), as of 2026-09-26.
Federal Emergency Management Agency, NFIP Community Status Book (OpenFEMA), as of 2026-09-26. US EPA, Map of Radon Zones, county spreadsheet, 2024-05 publication, EPA 402/A-16/001.
Coverage
What this page does not hold.
Traffic counts, zoning and the flood zone at an address are not on this page; they resolve at the address in the platform. How this page was built →
Feasibility studies
When a Lincoln County site needs a document a lender will accept.
The same data layer behind this page is the one the studies are written from. A study for a Lincoln County site starts with the figures you are reading, carrying the same source and period into the credit file.
- Population, American Community Survey 2020-202412,950
- Households3,592
- Average household size3.61
- Median household income$51,778
- Median age40.3
Common questions
Lincoln County questions, answered from the record.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Arkansas?
The Census Bureau estimates 12,868 residents on July 1, 2024 (US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024). The American Community Survey 2020-2024 five-year estimate is 12,950, in 3,592 households, ranking 53rd of 75 Arkansas counties. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.
Is Lincoln County's population growing?
The population has fallen 0.53 percent since the 2020 census base of 12,937, to 12,868 on July 1, 2024. In 2024 there were 91 births against 155 deaths, with net migration of 31. Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024, Vintage 2024, estimates 2020 to 2024.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County?
$51,778. The median owner-occupied home is valued at $108,000, which is 2.1 times income, and median gross rent is $744 per month. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.
How many businesses are in Lincoln County?
156 establishments, employing 1,463 people with an annual payroll of $64.6 m. These are establishments physically operating in the county, not listings. Source: US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.
What is employment by industry in Lincoln County?
Manufacturing is the largest private sector at 319 jobs, 12.0 percent of covered employment. Covered employment averages 2,666 jobs at an average annual pay of $46,882, or $902 a week. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2024 annual averages.
How much SBA lending happens in Lincoln County?
10 7(a) approvals totaling $8.7 m since FY2020, across 4 lenders, with a median approval of $532,250. These are approvals recorded in the release, not loans disbursed.
How many building permits were issued in Lincoln County?
4 housing units were authorized by permit in 2024, with a declared construction value of $1.1 m. Multifamily was 0.0 percent of units. Source: US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2024 annual.
What is the radon zone for Lincoln County?
Zone 3, a predicted average indoor radon screening level less than 2 pCi/L. Source: US EPA, Map of Radon Zones, county spreadsheet, 2024-05 publication, EPA 402/A-16/001.
Where do people moving to Lincoln County come from?
The largest single origin is Jefferson County, with 40 households. Arriving households report an average income of $32,058 against $37,080 for those leaving. Source: US Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income county migration flows, 2021 to 2022 filing years.
Are traffic counts available for Lincoln County on this page?
No. Annual average daily traffic resolves in the platform rather than in this dataset, so no AADT figure is printed here. It is a gap we know about rather than a figure we estimated.
Is zoning published for Lincoln County?
No. Nothing on this page presents parcel level zoning, and where a statutory framework applies it is marked as the statewide frame, to be confirmed locally.
Lincoln County
Cities and places in Lincoln.
3 Census places lie wholly or partly in Lincoln County. All 3 carry enough published place level data for a page of their own and are linked.
| Place | Type | Population | SBA 7(a) approvals, projects in this county | Lies in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star City | city | 2,405 | 7 | Wholly in this county |
| Gould | city | 661 | 1 | Wholly in this county |
| Grady | city | 168 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
A further 2 of the county's 10 SBA 7(a) approvals are to borrowers in cities that match no Census place in Lincoln County, the largest being Dumas (2). Those are postal cities, unincorporated areas and cities outside the county, so no place row claims them; they are counted in the county total above.
Nearby