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Warren County, North Carolina: commercial real estate data.

Warren County, North Carolina had an estimated 19,081 residents on July 1, 2024, up 2.4 percent since the 2020 census base of 18,637, across 428 square miles. County output reached $407.3 m in 2024, 291 establishments operate here, and the SBA record carries 5 7(a) approvals worth $2.0 m since FY2020.

Underlined figures are computed by MMCG Analytics, not published by the agency.

Warren County

How many people live in Warren County

  • Population, American Community Survey 2020-202418,795
  • Households8,147
  • Average household size2.31
  • Median household income$50,638
  • Median age49.6
  • Median gross rent$790 per month
  • Median owner-occupied home value$154,200
  • Home value to household income3.0 times
  • Annual rent as a share of median income18.7 percent
  • Adults 25 and over with a bachelor degree or higher18.9 percent
  • Adults 25 and over with a graduate degree6.5 percent
  • Adults 25 and over14,234
  • Population under 183,321
  • Share under 1817.7 percent
  • Population 65 and over5,212
  • Share 65 and over27.7 percent
  • Working age population, 18 to 6410,262
  • Civilian labor force7,928
  • Unemployment rate7.2 percent
  • Labor force participation, adults 18 and over51.2 percent
  • Rank by population among North Carolina counties83rd of 100
  • Rank by population among US county-equivalents, Puerto Rico included1945th of 3,222

Warren County is the 83rd largest of 100 North Carolina counties by population. A median home costs 3.0 times median household income, which is affordable by national standards. Residents 65 and over outnumber those under 18, at 27.7 percent against 17.7 percent, which points demand at health care, services and single story product rather than schools.

US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.

Warren County

Is Warren County's population growing?

  • Population, July 1, 202419,081
  • Census 2020 base population18,637
  • Population change since the 2020 census base2.38 percent
  • Population change, 2023 to 2024319
  • Births, 2024186
  • Deaths, 2024282
  • Natural change, 2024-96
  • Net domestic migration, 2024371
  • Net international migration, 202445
  • Total net migration, 2024416
  • Cumulative net domestic migration, 2021 to 2024900
  • Rank by growth among US county-equivalents1043rd of 3,144

The county has grown 2.38 percent since the 2020 census base. Deaths exceeded births in 2024 and the population still grew, so all of the growth came from people moving in. A market held up by migration is more sensitive to a change in relative cost than one growing from household formation.

US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024, Vintage 2024, estimates 2020 to 2024.

Warren County

Where are people moving to Warren County from?

  • Tax returns filed by households arriving533
  • People arriving, from those returns1,001
  • Tax returns filed by households leaving430
  • Net household movement103
  • Adjusted gross income arriving$31.8 m
  • Net adjusted gross income movement$10.7 m
  • Average income of an arriving household$59,675
  • Average income of a leaving household$49,002
  • Largest single originVance County (104 households)
  • Largest single destinationVance County (97 households)
Largest origins of households moving into Warren County
OriginHouseholdsPeopleAdjusted gross income
Vance County104216$3.7 m
Wake County67125$5.1 m
Halifax County52100$2.7 m
Franklin County2646$1.4 m
Granville County2449$712,000

Households arriving report $10,673 more average income than households leaving, so the migration is raising local spending power rather than just moving it around. The largest single source of arrivals is Vance County, which is the catchment a retail or multifamily study should look at first.

US Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income county migration flows, 2021 to 2022 filing years.

Warren County

What is the Warren County economy?

  • County GDP, 2024$407.3 m
  • County GDP, 2023$387.0 m
  • GDP change, 2023 to 20245.2 percent
  • GDP change over five years25.0 percent
  • Rank by GDP among the North Carolina areas BEA publishes90th of 100
  • Rank by GDP among the US county areas BEA publishes2534th of 3,127
  • GDP per resident$21,668

Output grew 5.2 percent in the latest year and 25.0 percent over five, which is the trend line a lender will read behind any single year figure.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional, table CAGDP2, CAGDP2, through 2024.

Warren County

Employment by industry in Warren County

  • Covered employment, annual average2,889
  • Establishments reporting348
  • Average annual pay$42,054
  • Average weekly wage$809
  • Manufacturing, employment418
  • Manufacturing, average annual pay$41,290
  • Retail trade, employment372
  • Retail trade, average annual pay$26,468
  • Accommodation and food services, employment291
  • Accommodation and food services, average annual pay$21,637
  • Health care and social assistance, employment191
  • Health care and social assistance, average annual pay$28,016
  • Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, employment128
  • Administrative and support and waste management services, employment97
Private sector employment and pay by industry, Warren County
SectorEmploymentEstablishmentsAverage annual pay
Manufacturing41813$41,290
Retail trade37252$26,468
Accommodation and food services29128$21,637
Health care and social assistance19122$28,016
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting12824$49,454
Administrative and support and waste management services9724$49,480
Construction7542$45,245
Other services, except public administration6620$28,616

Manufacturing is the largest private sector at 418 jobs, 14.5 percent of covered employment.

US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2024 annual averages.

Warren County

How many businesses are in Warren County?

  • Establishments, all industries291
  • Employment at those establishments2,165
  • Annual payroll$74.2 m
  • Establishments per 1,000 residents15.5

These are counts of establishments physically operating in the county, not listings, so they are the supply side a feasibility study measures demand against. County Business Patterns counts private establishments with paid employees in March 2023, while the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages above counts every unemployment-insured employer, public ones included, as a 2024 annual average, so the two establishment and employment counts differ.

US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.

Warren County

Building permits in Warren County

  • Housing units authorized by permit, 2024255
  • Declared construction value permitted$39.2 m
  • Single family units authorized255
  • Multifamily units authorized0
  • Multifamily share of units0.0 percent
  • Average declared value per unit$153,871
  • Units authorized per 1,000 households31.3

Single-family homes are 100.0 percent of units authorized, so the pipeline is predominantly single-family.

US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2024 annual.

Warren County

SBA loans in Warren County (7(a) and 504)

  • 7(a) approvals recorded5
  • 7(a) gross approval dollars$2.0 m
  • Average 7(a) approval$407,400
  • Median 7(a) approval$150,000
  • Largest single approval$1,161,000
  • Jobs reported supported, 7(a)6
  • Jobs per approval1.2
  • Distinct 7(a) lenders active4
  • Distinct industries receiving approvals5
  • Median 7(a) term120 months
  • Share of loans on real estate terms, 240 months or longer20.0 percent
  • Loans on real estate terms1
  • Loans on working capital terms, 120 months or shorter4
  • Franchise loans0
  • Franchise share of approvals0.0 percent
  • 504 approvals recorded1
  • 504 gross approval dollars$282,000
  • Average 504 approval$282,000
  • Median 504 approval$282,000
  • Distinct CDCs active1
  • 504 jobs per approval8.0
  • 504 jobs per million dollars approved28.4
  • Combined SBA approval dollars, 7(a) FY2020 to FY2026 and 504 FY2010 to FY2026$2.3 m

US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30. US Small Business Administration, 504 FOIA release, FY2010 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.

Warren County

SBA loan default and charge-off rates in Warren County

Do SBA loans in Warren County get paid back?

  • Loans with a final outcome recorded1
  • Paid in full1
  • Charged off0
  • Status: Paid in full1
  • Status: Exempt from disclosure4

Only 1 loan has reached a final outcome, fewer than the 30 a charge-off rate needs, so no rate is published.

Compare against the national and state SBA charge-off rates, computed the same way over resolved loans only.

US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.

Warren County

SBA lending by place in Warren County

  • Borrower cities with recorded lending4
  • Littleton, approvals2
  • Macon, approvals1
  • Norlina, approvals1
  • Warrenton, approvals1
SBA 7(a) approvals by borrower city, loans with a project in Warren County, FY2020 to FY2026
Borrower cityApprovalsGross approval dollars
Littleton2$223,000
Macon1$1,161,000
Norlina1$648,000
Warrenton1$5,000

US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.

Warren County

How large is Warren County?

  • Land area428 sq mi
  • Rank by land area among North Carolina counties56th of 100
  • Width, east to west23.7 mi
  • Height, north to south23.6 mi
  • Geographies sharing a boundary6
  • Residents per square mile of land44
  • Establishments per square mile0.68

US Census Bureau county boundary geometry, TIGER, adjacency computed from shared boundary vertices, TIGER county boundaries. US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year. US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.

Warren County

Flood risk in Warren County

  • Participation of the county's own NFIP community Warren County, unincorporated areasParticipating, community 370396
  • Communities in the county in the NFIP Community Status Book3
  • Of those, participating in the NFIP2
  • NFIP participation rate66.7 percent
  • Communities carrying a CRS class0
  • Radon levels in Warren County, EPA zone predicted average indoor radon screening level from 2 to 4 pCi/LZone 2

The county's own community in the status book, unincorporated Warren County (community 370396), participates in the National Flood Insurance Program and carries no Community Rating System class, so no CRS premium discount applies there. The EPA places Warren County in radon zone 2, a predicted average indoor radon screening level from 2 to 4 pCi/L. The zone is a screening prediction for the county and does not substitute for a test at an address. 66.7 percent of the county's listed communities participate in the National Flood Insurance Program, per Federal Emergency Management Agency, NFIP Community Status Book (OpenFEMA), as of 2026-09-26.

Federal Emergency Management Agency, NFIP Community Status Book (OpenFEMA), as of 2026-09-26. US EPA, Map of Radon Zones, county spreadsheet, 2024-05 publication, EPA 402/A-16/001.

Coverage

What this page does not hold.

Traffic counts, zoning and the flood zone at an address are not on this page; they resolve at the address in the platform. How this page was built →

Feasibility studies

When a Warren County site needs a document a lender will accept.

The same data layer behind this page is the one the studies are written from. A study for a Warren County site starts with the figures you are reading, carrying the same source and period into the credit file.

  • Population, American Community Survey 2020-202418,795
  • Households8,147
  • Average household size2.31
  • Median household income$50,638
  • Median age49.6

How a feasibility study works →

Common questions

Warren County questions, answered from the record.

How many people live in Warren County, North Carolina?

The Census Bureau estimates 19,081 residents on July 1, 2024 (US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024). The American Community Survey 2020-2024 five-year estimate is 18,795, in 8,147 households, ranking 83rd of 100 North Carolina counties. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.

Is Warren County's population growing?

The population has grown 2.38 percent since the 2020 census base of 18,637, to 19,081 on July 1, 2024. In 2024 there were 186 births against 282 deaths, with net migration of 416. Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024, Vintage 2024, estimates 2020 to 2024.

What is the median household income in Warren County?

$50,638. The median owner-occupied home is valued at $154,200, which is 3.0 times income, and median gross rent is $790 per month. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.

How many businesses are in Warren County?

291 establishments, employing 2,165 people with an annual payroll of $74.2 m. These are establishments physically operating in the county, not listings. Source: US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.

What is employment by industry in Warren County?

Manufacturing is the largest private sector at 418 jobs, 14.5 percent of covered employment. Covered employment averages 2,889 jobs at an average annual pay of $42,054, or $809 a week. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2024 annual averages.

How much SBA lending happens in Warren County?

5 7(a) approvals totaling $2.0 m since FY2020, across 4 lenders, with a median approval of $150,000, plus 1 504 approvals worth $282,000 since FY2010. These are approvals recorded in the release, not loans disbursed.

How many building permits were issued in Warren County?

255 housing units were authorized by permit in 2024, with a declared construction value of $39.2 m. Multifamily was 0.0 percent of units. Source: US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2024 annual.

What is the radon zone for Warren County?

Zone 2, a predicted average indoor radon screening level from 2 to 4 pCi/L. Source: US EPA, Map of Radon Zones, county spreadsheet, 2024-05 publication, EPA 402/A-16/001.

Where do people moving to Warren County come from?

The largest single origin is Vance County, with 104 households. Arriving households report an average income of $59,675 against $49,002 for those leaving. Source: US Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income county migration flows, 2021 to 2022 filing years.

Are traffic counts available for Warren County on this page?

No. Annual average daily traffic resolves in the platform rather than in this dataset, so no AADT figure is printed here. It is a gap we know about rather than a figure we estimated.

Is zoning published for Warren County?

No. Nothing on this page presents parcel level zoning, and where a statutory framework applies it is marked as the statewide frame, to be confirmed locally.

Warren County

Cities and places in Warren.

3 Census places lie wholly or partly in Warren County. All 3 carry enough published place level data for a page of their own and are linked.

Census places in Warren County, by population, with SBA 7(a) approvals to borrowers in each place for projects in Warren County
PlaceTypePopulationSBA 7(a) approvals, projects in this countyLies in
Norlinatown1,0871Wholly in this county
Warrentontown7721Wholly in this county
Macontown661Wholly in this county

A further 2 of the county's 5 SBA 7(a) approvals are to borrowers in cities that match no Census place in Warren County, the largest being Littleton (2). Those are postal cities, unincorporated areas and cities outside the county, so no place row claims them; they are counted in the county total above.