Shenandoah County, Virginia: commercial real estate data.
Shenandoah County, Virginia had an estimated 45,441 residents on July 1, 2024, up 2.9 percent since the 2020 census base of 44,179, across 509 square miles. County output reached $2.27 bn in 2024, 922 establishments operate here, and the SBA record carries 16 7(a) approvals worth $9.3 m since FY2020.
Underlined figures are computed by MMCG Analytics, not published by the agency.
Shenandoah County
How many people live in Shenandoah County
- Population, American Community Survey 2020-202444,925
- Households17,962
- Average household size2.50
- Median household income$67,191
- Median age42.9
- Median gross rent$984 per month
- Median owner-occupied home value$294,900
- Home value to household income4.4 times
- Annual rent as a share of median income17.6 percent
- Adults 25 and over with a bachelor degree or higher21.6 percent
- Adults 25 and over with a graduate degree8.6 percent
- Adults 25 and over32,115
- Population under 189,494
- Share under 1821.1 percent
- Population 65 and over10,081
- Share 65 and over22.4 percent
- Working age population, 18 to 6425,350
- Civilian labor force22,047
- Unemployment rate4.8 percent
- Labor force participation, adults 18 and over62.2 percent
- Rank by population among Virginia counties39th of 133
- Rank by population among US county-equivalents, Puerto Rico included1104th of 3,222
Shenandoah County is the 39th largest of 133 Virginia counties by population. A median home costs 4.4 times median household income, which is seriously unaffordable by national standards. Residents 65 and over outnumber those under 18, at 22.4 percent against 21.1 percent, which points demand at health care, services and single story product rather than schools.
US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.
Shenandoah County
Is Shenandoah County's population growing?
- Population, July 1, 202445,441
- Census 2020 base population44,179
- Population change since the 2020 census base2.86 percent
- Population change, 2023 to 2024256
- Births, 2024394
- Deaths, 2024512
- Natural change, 2024-118
- Net domestic migration, 2024234
- Net international migration, 2024139
- Total net migration, 2024373
- Cumulative net domestic migration, 2021 to 20241,410
- Rank by growth among US county-equivalents908th of 3,144
The county has grown 2.86 percent since the 2020 census base. Deaths exceeded births in 2024 and the population still grew, so all of the growth came from people moving in. A market held up by migration is more sensitive to a change in relative cost than one growing from household formation.
US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024, Vintage 2024, estimates 2020 to 2024.
Shenandoah County
Where are people moving to Shenandoah County from?
- Tax returns filed by households arriving1,275
- People arriving, from those returns2,214
- Tax returns filed by households leaving1,107
- Net household movement168
- Adjusted gross income arriving$79.6 m
- Net adjusted gross income movement$19.0 m
- Average income of an arriving household$62,434
- Average income of a leaving household$54,756
- Largest single originWarren County (161 households)
- Largest single destinationFrederick County (150 households)
| Origin | Households | People | Adjusted gross income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warren County | 161 | 290 | $11.5 m |
| Frederick County | 152 | 258 | $8.2 m |
| Rockingham County | 113 | 205 | $5.8 m |
| Fairfax County | 72 | 124 | $8.5 m |
| Winchester city | 64 | 101 | $2.6 m |
| Prince William County | 52 | 91 | $4.6 m |
| Harrisonburg city | 38 | 59 | $1.5 m |
| Loudoun County | 36 | 56 | $5.2 m |
Households arriving report $7,678 more average income than households leaving, so the migration is raising local spending power rather than just moving it around. The largest single source of arrivals is Warren County, which is the catchment a retail or multifamily study should look at first.
US Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income county migration flows, 2021 to 2022 filing years.
Shenandoah County
What is the Shenandoah County economy?
- County GDP, 2024$2.27 bn
- County GDP, 2023$2.18 bn
- GDP change, 2023 to 20244.0 percent
- GDP change over five years25.5 percent
- Rank by GDP among the Virginia areas BEA publishes41st of 105
- Rank by GDP among the US county areas BEA publishes1178th of 3,127
- GDP per resident$50,534
Output grew 4.0 percent in the latest year and 25.5 percent over five, which is the trend line a lender will read behind any single year figure.
US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional, table CAGDP2, CAGDP2, through 2024.
Shenandoah County
Employment by industry in Shenandoah County
- Covered employment, annual average13,484
- Establishments reporting1,152
- Average annual pay$49,986
- Average weekly wage$961
- Manufacturing, employment2,921
- Manufacturing, average annual pay$53,906
- Retail trade, employment1,686
- Retail trade, average annual pay$33,629
- Accommodation and food services, employment1,214
- Accommodation and food services, average annual pay$20,621
- Construction, employment676
- Construction, average annual pay$58,037
- Transportation and warehousing, employment520
- Other services, except public administration, employment378
| Sector | Employment | Establishments | Average annual pay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing | 2,921 | 50 | $53,906 |
| Retail trade | 1,686 | 123 | $33,629 |
| Accommodation and food services | 1,214 | 92 | $20,621 |
| Construction | 676 | 134 | $58,037 |
| Transportation and warehousing | 520 | 46 | $69,707 |
| Other services, except public administration | 378 | 112 | $36,796 |
| Professional, scientific and technical services | 350 | 67 | $92,479 |
| Wholesale trade | 329 | 28 | $55,351 |
Manufacturing is the largest private sector at 2,921 jobs, 21.7 percent of covered employment.
US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2024 annual averages.
Shenandoah County
How many businesses are in Shenandoah County?
- Establishments, all industries922
- Employment at those establishments12,260
- Annual payroll$546.8 m
- Establishments per 1,000 residents20.5
These are counts of establishments physically operating in the county, not listings, so they are the supply side a feasibility study measures demand against. County Business Patterns counts private establishments with paid employees in March 2023, while the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages above counts every unemployment-insured employer, public ones included, as a 2024 annual average, so the two establishment and employment counts differ.
US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.
Shenandoah County
Building permits in Shenandoah County
- Housing units authorized by permit, 2024224
- Declared construction value permitted$42.9 m
- Single family units authorized224
- Multifamily units authorized0
- Multifamily share of units0.0 percent
- Average declared value per unit$191,667
- Units authorized per 1,000 households12.5
Single-family homes are 100.0 percent of units authorized, so the pipeline is predominantly single-family.
US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2024 annual.
Shenandoah County
SBA loans in Shenandoah County (7(a) and 504)
- 7(a) approvals recorded16
- 7(a) gross approval dollars$9.3 m
- Average 7(a) approval$582,725
- Median 7(a) approval$243,000
- Largest single approval$2,648,000
- Jobs reported supported, 7(a)187
- Jobs per approval11.7
- Distinct 7(a) lenders active9
- Distinct industries receiving approvals11
- Median 7(a) term120 months
- Share of loans on real estate terms, 240 months or longer25.0 percent
- Loans on real estate terms4
- Loans on working capital terms, 120 months or shorter11
- Franchise loans2
- Franchise share of approvals12.5 percent
- Leading industry by approval countAir-Conditioning and Warm Air Heating Equipment and Commercial and Industrial Refrigeration Equipment Manufacturing (3)
- Most active lenderPioneer Bank (4)
- 504 approvals recorded9
- 504 gross approval dollars$10.5 m
- Average 504 approval$1,171,778
- Median 504 approval$595,000
- Distinct CDCs active2
- 504 jobs per approval6.7
- 504 jobs per million dollars approved5.7
- Most active CDCBusiness Finance Group, Inc. (7)
- Combined SBA approval dollars, 7(a) FY2020 to FY2026 and 504 FY2010 to FY2026$19.9 m
US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30. US Small Business Administration, 504 FOIA release, FY2010 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.
Shenandoah County
SBA loan default and charge-off rates in Shenandoah County
Do SBA loans in Shenandoah County get paid back?
- Loans with a final outcome recorded6
- Paid in full6
- Charged off0
- Status: Exempt from disclosure9
- Status: Paid in full6
- Status: Cancelled1
Only 6 loans have reached a final outcome, fewer than the 30 a charge-off rate needs, so no rate is published.
Compare against the national and state SBA charge-off rates, computed the same way over resolved loans only.
US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.
Shenandoah County
SBA lending by place in Shenandoah County
- Borrower cities with recorded lending6
- New Market, approvals5
- Quicksburg, approvals3
- Strasburg, approvals3
- Woodstock, approvals2
- Edinburg, approvals2
- Fort Valley, approvals1
| Borrower city | Approvals | Gross approval dollars |
|---|---|---|
| New Market | 5 | $5,189,000 |
| Quicksburg | 3 | $950,000 |
| Strasburg | 3 | $434,600 |
| Woodstock | 2 | $1,670,000 |
| Edinburg | 2 | $1,065,000 |
| Fort Valley | 1 | $15,000 |
US Small Business Administration, 7(a) FOIA release, FY2020 to FY2026 year to date, as of 2026-06-30.
Shenandoah County
How large is Shenandoah County?
- Land area509 sq mi
- Rank by land area among Virginia counties21st of 133
- Width, east to west30.6 mi
- Height, north to south34.3 mi
- Geographies sharing a boundary5
- Residents per square mile of land88
- Establishments per square mile1.81
US Census Bureau county boundary geometry, TIGER, adjacency computed from shared boundary vertices, TIGER county boundaries. US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year. US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.
Shenandoah County
Flood risk in Shenandoah County
- Participation of the county's own NFIP community Shenandoah County, unincorporated areasParticipating, community 510147
- Communities in the county in the NFIP Community Status Book7
- Of those, participating in the NFIP7
- NFIP participation rate100.0 percent
- Communities carrying a CRS class0
- Radon levels in Shenandoah County, EPA zone predicted average indoor radon screening level greater than 4 pCi/LZone 1
The county's own community in the status book, unincorporated Shenandoah County (community 510147), participates in the National Flood Insurance Program and carries no Community Rating System class, so no CRS premium discount applies there. The EPA places Shenandoah County in radon zone 1, a predicted average indoor radon screening level greater than 4 pCi/L. The zone is a screening prediction for the county and does not substitute for a test at an address. 100.0 percent of the county's listed communities participate in the National Flood Insurance Program, per Federal Emergency Management Agency, NFIP Community Status Book (OpenFEMA), as of 2026-09-26.
Federal Emergency Management Agency, NFIP Community Status Book (OpenFEMA), as of 2026-09-26. US EPA, Map of Radon Zones, county spreadsheet, 2024-05 publication, EPA 402/A-16/001.
Coverage
What this page does not hold.
Traffic counts, zoning and the flood zone at an address are not on this page; they resolve at the address in the platform. How this page was built →
Feasibility studies
When a Shenandoah County site needs a document a lender will accept.
The same data layer behind this page is the one the studies are written from. A study for a Shenandoah County site starts with the figures you are reading, carrying the same source and period into the credit file.
- Population, American Community Survey 2020-202444,925
- Households17,962
- Average household size2.50
- Median household income$67,191
- Median age42.9
Common questions
Shenandoah County questions, answered from the record.
How many people live in Shenandoah County, Virginia?
The Census Bureau estimates 45,441 residents on July 1, 2024 (US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024). The American Community Survey 2020-2024 five-year estimate is 44,925, in 17,962 households, ranking 39th of 133 Virginia counties. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.
Is Shenandoah County's population growing?
The population has grown 2.86 percent since the 2020 census base of 44,179, to 45,441 on July 1, 2024. In 2024 there were 394 births against 512 deaths, with net migration of 373. Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2024, Vintage 2024, estimates 2020 to 2024.
What is the median household income in Shenandoah County?
$67,191. The median owner-occupied home is valued at $294,900, which is 4.4 times income, and median gross rent is $984 per month. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, 2020-2024 5-year.
How many businesses are in Shenandoah County?
922 establishments, employing 12,260 people with an annual payroll of $546.8 m. These are establishments physically operating in the county, not listings. Source: US Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2023.
What is employment by industry in Shenandoah County?
Manufacturing is the largest private sector at 2,921 jobs, 21.7 percent of covered employment. Covered employment averages 13,484 jobs at an average annual pay of $49,986, or $961 a week. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2024 annual averages.
How much SBA lending happens in Shenandoah County?
16 7(a) approvals totaling $9.3 m since FY2020, across 9 lenders, with a median approval of $243,000, plus 9 504 approvals worth $10.5 m since FY2010. These are approvals recorded in the release, not loans disbursed.
How many building permits were issued in Shenandoah County?
224 housing units were authorized by permit in 2024, with a declared construction value of $42.9 m. Multifamily was 0.0 percent of units. Source: US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2024 annual.
What is the radon zone for Shenandoah County?
Zone 1, a predicted average indoor radon screening level greater than 4 pCi/L. Source: US EPA, Map of Radon Zones, county spreadsheet, 2024-05 publication, EPA 402/A-16/001.
Where do people moving to Shenandoah County come from?
The largest single origin is Warren County, with 161 households. Arriving households report an average income of $62,434 against $54,756 for those leaving. Source: US Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income county migration flows, 2021 to 2022 filing years.
Are traffic counts available for Shenandoah County on this page?
No. Annual average daily traffic resolves in the platform rather than in this dataset, so no AADT figure is printed here. It is a gap we know about rather than a figure we estimated.
Is zoning published for Shenandoah County?
No. Nothing on this page presents parcel level zoning, and where a statutory framework applies it is marked as the statewide frame, to be confirmed locally.
Shenandoah County
Cities and places in Shenandoah.
23 Census places lie wholly or partly in Shenandoah County. 19 carry enough published place level data for a page of their own and are linked. The rest are named here and not linked, because the American Community Survey and the SBA record between them do not carry enough about them to write an honest page. A place existing is itself worth knowing, so nothing in the county is left out.
| Place | Type | Population | SBA 7(a) approvals, projects in this county | Lies in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasburg | town | 7,214 | 3 | Wholly in this county |
| Woodstock | town | 5,871 | 2 | Wholly in this county |
| New Market | town | 2,342 | 5 | Wholly in this county |
| Mount Jackson | town | 2,000 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Edinburg | town | 1,671 | 2 | Wholly in this county |
| Basye | CDP | 1,481 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Maurertown | CDP | 1,092 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Conicville | CDP | 446 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Toms Brook | town | 439 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Bowmans Crossing | CDP | 420 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Columbia Furnace | CDP | 307 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Alonzaville | CDP | 296 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Mount Clifton | CDP | 170 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Quicksburg | CDP | 106 | 3 | Wholly in this county |
| Locust Grove | CDP | 67 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Lebanon Church | CDP | 63 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Mount Olive | CDP | 58 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Forestville | CDP | 35 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Hudson Crossroads | CDP | 6 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Clary | CDP | 0 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Fishers Hill | CDP | 0 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Orkney Springs | CDP | 0 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
| Saumsville | CDP | 0 | None recorded | Wholly in this county |
A further 1 of the county's 16 SBA 7(a) approvals are to borrowers in cities that match no Census place in Shenandoah County, the largest being Fort Valley (1). Those are postal cities, unincorporated areas and cities outside the county, so no place row claims them; they are counted in the county total above.
Nearby